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What happens if Southampton win, lose or draw at Swansea City tonight?

We try our best to explain all the permutations from the result of tonight’s crunch match between Southampton and Swansea City.

Everton v Southampton - Premier League Photo by Jan Kruger/Getty Images

Southampton need to beat Swansea City tonight to help preserve the team’s Premier League status. That point was made totally clear after a late collapse saw Saints surrender their 1-0 lead away at Everton on Saturday evening by conceding a gut-wrenching late goal.

But what happens if Saints draw to Swansea, or, dare I say it, lose at the Liberty Stadium tonight? Are Southampton even safe if they do steal three points from South Wales?

We try our best to map out all scenarios resulting from tonight’s all-important match.


If Southampton win

The ideal scenario for all Southampton fans would see the following:

  • Saints will overtake Huddersfield Town to move up to 16th place on goal difference. They can then make safety from relegation a reality by avoiding defeat against the league’s dominant champions Manchester City at home on Sunday.
  • West Bromwich Albion will be relegated. A tough break for caretaker boss Darren Moore, who has put in a valiant shift to get the Baggies anywhere near avoiding what looked like inevitable relegation.
  • Swansea remain in the drop zone and need to beat already-relegated Stoke City in their final game to stay up in the hope that either Huddersfield or Saints drop points to stay up.

If Swansea win

Please no...

  • Southampton drop back into the relegation zone and would need to beat Man City - and rely on Swansea and Huddersfield dropping points in their final game - for any chance of survival from relegation.
  • Swansea move up to 16th and will secure safety if they avoid defeat to already-relegated Stoke on Sunday.
  • Like before, West Brom will have to endure relegation if either team wins tonight.

If it’s a draw

Not as bad as defeat, but still does Saints no favours...

  • Saints stay 17th and will have to either beat City or match Swansea’s result to ensure safety on the final day.
  • Swansea will have to avoid defeat on Sunday against Stoke. Bettering Saints’ result would see them survive relegation on the final day.
  • West Brom are still within a slim chance of surviving relegation. Moore’s Baggies will have to beat Crystal Palace and hope both Saints and Swansea lose to ensure safety.